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Fearnside Philip M. Lashof Daniel A. Moura-Costa Pedro 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2000,5(3):239-270
Many proposed activities formitigating global warming in the land-use change and forestry(LUCF) sector differ from measures to avoid fossilfuel emissions because carbon (C) may be held out ofthe atmosphere only temporarily. In addition, thetiming of the effects is usually different. Many LUCFactivities alter C fluxes to and from the atmosphereseveral decades into the future, whereas fossil fuelemissions avoidance has immediate effects. Non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHGs), which are animportant part of emissions from deforestation inlow-latitude regions, also pose complications forcomparisons between fossil fuel and LUCF, since themechanism generally used to compare these gases(global warming potentials) assumes simultaneousemissions. A common numeraire is needed to expressglobal warming mitigation benefits of different kindsof projects, such as fossil fuel emissions reduction,C sequestration in forest plantations, avoideddeforestation by creating protected areas and throughpolicy changes to slow rates of land-use changes suchas clearing. Megagram (Mg)-year (also known as`ton-year') accounting provides a mechanism forexpressing the benefits of activities such as these ona consistent basis. One can calculate the atmosphericload of each GHG that will be present in each year,expressed as C in the form of CO2 and itsinstantaneous impact equivalent contributed by othergases. The atmospheric load of CO2-equivalent Cpresent over a time horizon is a possible indicator ofthe climatic impact of the emission that placed thisload in the atmosphere. Conversely, this index alsoprovides a measure of the benefit of notproducing the emission. One accounting methodcompares sequestered CO2 in trees with theCO2 that would be in the atmosphere had thesequestration project not been undertaken, whileanother method (used in this paper) compares theatmospheric load of C (or equivalent in non-CO2GHGs) in both project and no-project scenarios.Time preference, expressed by means of a discount rateon C, can be applied to Mg-year equivalencecalculations to allow societal decisions regarding thevalue of time to be integrated into the system forcalculating global warming impacts and benefits. Giving a high value to time, either by raising thediscount rate or by shortening the time horizon,increases the value attributed to temporarysequestration (such as many forest plantationprojects). A high value for time also favorsmitigation measures that have rapid effects (such asslowing deforestation rates) as compared to measuresthat only affect emissions years in the future (suchas creating protected areas in countries with largeareas of remaining forest). Decisions on temporalissues will guide mitigation efforts towards optionsthat may or may not be desirable on the basis ofsocial and environmental effects in spheres other thanglobal warming. How sustainable development criteriaare incorporated into the approval and creditingsystems for activities under the Kyoto Protocol willdetermine the overall environmental and social impactsof pending decisions on temporal issues. 相似文献
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本文提出将复合螯合剂(NaDDTC/8—Oxin)饱和吸附于活性碳上作为吸附材料.分离富集和ICP—AES同时测定水中痕量金属元素的方法。用ICP—AES研究了该吸附材料对某些痕量元素的吸附和解吸性能;考察了共存元素的影响。方法应用于湖水中Fe、Cu、Mn、Y和Sc的测定,检出限为ng/ml级,RSD为1.9%~4.4%,加入回收率81%~101%间,试样分析结果满意。 相似文献
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Schaeffer Roberto Logan Jeffrey Szklo Alexandre Salem Chandler William de Souza Marques João Carlos 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2001,6(1):47-69
This study analyzes the options for meeting power demand in the Brazilianpower sector through the year 2015. Three policy cases are constructedto test economic and environmental policy measures against a baseline:advanced technologies scenario, environmental control scenario and carbon(C) elimination scenario. Least-cost modeling simulated these scenarios throughchanges in emissions fees and caps, costs for advanced technologies,demand side efficiency, and clean energy supplies. Results show that, in theabsence of alternative policies, new additions to Brazil's electric powersector will shift rapidly from hydroelectricity to combined-cycle natural gasplants. When the cost of environmental impacts are incorporated in theprice of power, the least-cost mix of electric power generation technologycould change in other ways. In all scenarios, energy efficiency andcogeneration play an important role in the least-cost power solution. Savingelectricity through increased efficiency offsets the needs for new supply andhas enormous potential in Brazil's industrial sector. Efficiency also reducesthe environmental burden associated with electricity production andtransmission, without compromising the quality of the services demandedby end users. Interesting enough, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will remainrelatively low under almost every conceivable scenario. 相似文献
96.
为研究南京北郊大气PM_(2.5)中水溶性有机碳(WSOC)的浓度及来源特点,在冬、夏季分别采集PM_(2.5)样品,还同步收集臭氧(O_3)浓度与相对湿度(RH)数据,分析了PM_(2.5)、有机碳(OC)、水溶性有机碳(WSOC)浓度特征,并对WSOC冬、夏季来源及其二次来源差异进行了探讨.结果显示,南京北郊冬季大气污染水平明显高于夏季且来源更复杂,与冬季静稳的天气条件及化石燃料和生物质燃烧排放较严重有关.冬季PM_(2.5)平均值为(136.7±42.4)μg·m~(-3),OC、WSOC浓度分别为(13.4±4.4)、(8.5±3.1)μg·m~(-3);夏季PM_(2.5)、OC、WSOC平均浓度分别为(61.5±14.6)、(6.7±2.1)、(4.6±1.7)μg·m~(-3).冬、夏季WSOC/OC值分别为67%±20%、69%±13%,且二次有机碳(SOC)与WSOC显著正相关,说明二次来源对WSOC有显著影响.冬季WSOC与O_3的负相关性不显著,与RH显著正相关;而夏季WSOC与O_3、RH的相关性正好与冬季相反,说明冬、夏季二次WSOC形成途径存在差异.冬季二次WSOC可能主要来自液相氧化,夏季可能主要来自光化学氧化.通过主成分因子分析法进一步确定南京北郊冬、夏季WSOC分别主要来源于二次来源和生物质燃烧、汽车尾气和扬尘. 相似文献
97.
神经网络在海水腐蚀预测中的应用 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
根据我国材料自然环境腐蚀网站长期以来积累的海水腐蚀数据,采用BP人工神经网络算法,建立了碳钢及低合金钢的海水腐蚀预测模型.该模型以合金成分、环境因素为输入参数,以平均腐蚀速率为输出参数.以碳钢、低合金钢的17种钢种在青岛、厦门、榆林海水腐蚀试验站16年腐蚀数据建模.选定A3钢与10CrCuSiV在以上三地16年的腐蚀数据为验证样本.结果表明该网络具有良好的预测精度,能够正确反映海水环境腐蚀性因素及金属材料腐蚀暴露时间与其腐蚀速率的关系,用于碳钢及低合金钢在海洋全浸环境中的腐蚀预测. 相似文献
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该研究以生物炭为过滤介质 ,探讨过滤塔降解气流中苯、甲苯的生物降解性能 .实验表明 ,在总有机负荷低于 3 5 0 g/ (h·m3)、停留时间 1 5~ 90s的实验条件下 ,滤塔对苯和甲苯混合气体有较好的降解性能 ,苯、甲苯的最大削减能力分别为 1 2 0 g/ (h·m3)和 1 5 0 g/ (h·m3) ,甲苯比苯更易被微生物降解 .滤塔中CO2 生成量随苯、甲苯降解量的增加而增加 ,但实验增长速率小于理论增长速率 .菌落分析表明 ,滤塔中微生物主要有真菌、杆菌、芽孢杆菌 ,其中芽孢杆菌为优势菌种 .根据吸附 生物降解机理 ,建立了VOCs去除模型 ,并予以验证 . 相似文献
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